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23/08/2013

Central Asia after 2014: Implications of withdrawal from Afghanistan (DIEEEM17-2013)

The next withdrawal of ISAF troops from Afghanistan in 2014 may lead to several possible scenarios: further strengthening of the Afghan state and its institutions, a weakening of the central state administration for the benefit of regional gentlemen of dubious democratic legitimacy, or a return to chaos fundamentalist Taliban. Not be ruled out a last scenario that has mixture of several of these elements: an Afghan state decentralized sharing power with former warlords in some regions and the Taliban in others. Anyway, radical Islam is taking root and becoming increasingly widespread in neighboring Central Asian nations. This trend could deepen with the said withdrawal of 2014.

Author: Antonio Alonso Marco

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